Lucid Stock Update: Key Data Points & Market Moves

PUBLISHED Sep 13, 2025, 4:32:13 PM        SHARE

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What’s Going On?

Welcome back to the channel. Today, we’re diving into Lucid’s latest trading session, breaking down the numbers that moved the needle and outlining everything you need to know. If you find this helpful, don’t forget to hit that thumbs up—let’s get right into it.

Trading Session Highlights

Lucid closed up 2.37% today, largely riding the broader market’s momentum. The stock hit a low of 19.36 and peaked at 20.29, with 8.8 million shares changing hands against an average of 10.7 million. There were no new SEC filings or press releases, but the day’s trading action tells its own story.

Lucid’s European Focus

On social media, Lucid announced that the Gravity has landed in Munich for IAA Mobility from September 5th to 10th. This push into Europe hints at a short-term strategy to bypass U.S. tariffs and use AMP 2 capacity to ship vehicles more cost-effectively.

While the exact impact remains to be seen, expanding in Europe could unlock a new revenue stream and improve delivery economics. We’ll keep an eye on how this plays out as tariff news evolves.

Metric Value
Session Change 2.37%
Intraday Low 19.36
Intraday High 20.29
Volume Traded 8.8 million
Avg Daily Volume 10.7 million

Inflation Data and Market Catalysts

Tariff chatter kept markets on edge this morning, but CPI data offered relief. Month-over-month inflation came in at 0.4% against a 0.3% forecast, and year-over-year was 2.9% versus an expected 3.0%. Energy prices rose 0.7%, meaning core items actually softened.

This nuanced print signals that overall inflation is trending down, which strengthens the case for a rate cut. Heading into next week, Fed-watchers will be eyeing this data as a major catalyst.

Morgan Stanley Conference & Recent Momentum

Tomorrow at 7:45 a.m. ET, Lucid executives will present at the Morgan Stanley 13th Annual Laguna Conference. If you want a live stream, let me know—I can set it up. Investor excitement is building after Lucid climbed 10.56% over the last five days, driven by positive technical setups.

Expect commentary on production ramp, European expansion, and supply-chain updates. That briefing could give us fresh catalysts for the next leg higher.

CPI Measure Actual Forecast
MoM Inflation 0.4% 0.3%
YoY Inflation 2.9% 3.0%
Energy MoM Change 0.7%

Short Interest Trends

Short sellers have been creeping back in. As of the August 28 report (filed September 9), 38.41 million Lucid shares were shorted, representing 30.6% of the float. Yesterday, about 1.2 million shares were returned, pushing the total short position to 38.78 million and the free-float short ratio to 30.89%.

Outstanding shares shrank after the reverse split, yet the shares-on-loan figure sits at a hefty 87.35 million. A significant chunk of shareholders are lending out stock, fueling the short supply. One Saudi investor even noted their broker makes lending mandatory.

To curb excessive shorting, holders can opt out by contacting their brokers—though practices vary by region and firm.

Options Volume & Strategies

Today’s options action totaled 2.5 million in calls and 7.7 million in puts, with 76% of dollar-value trades classified as neutral. The 10.50–10.55 strike saw 1.7 million notional traded, a level so busy it swallows bid-ask spreads and muddies bullish/bearish signals.

Several abnormal transactions popped up, including multileg straddles and high-volume blocks—each stamping today’s session with heightened options interest.

Metric Value
Shorted Shares 38.78 million
% Free Float Shorted 30.89%
Shares on Loan 87.35 million
Calls Volume 2.5 million
Puts Volume 7.7 million
Neutral Option Trades 76%

Tomorrow, I’m rolling a short-term options play of my own: sold a $20 put expiring at the open. If Lucid closes below $20, I’ll pick up more shares; if it stays above, I pocket the premium. Think of it as a small stake on continued strength.

Lucid Stock Update: Bullish Signals & Key Levels to Watch

1. My Weekly Put & Breakout Hype

I sold a $20 put expiring tomorrow, so if Lucid closes below $20, I pick up more shares; if it stays above, I keep the premium. Seeing Lucid break above 20 today definitely got me hyped—this momentum is hard to ignore.

2. Expanded Options Chain

Market makers recently extended Lucid’s strike range all the way up to 38, having only offered up to 37 on monthly chains before. They also launched weekly chains spanning $25.50 to $30 just this week, signaling confidence that Lucid could test those levels.

3. Interpreting the New Strikes

Opening higher strikes isn’t arbitrary. It’s a clear sign that professionals are positioning for a potential rally into the high-20s or even beyond 30. If you’re an options trader, this gives you a framework for both directional and range strategies.

4. Consensus & Bearish Bets

Current activity clusters around the 20–20.50 strikes, while bearish traders are eyeing sub-$19. That split highlights a tug-of-war between short-term bulls and bears—worth tracking as trading volumes evolve.

5. Secondary Market & Dark Pool Transactions

There were only a handful of secondary-market trades above $100K, including blocks of 1.3M, 1.0M, and 5.4M shares. A notable dark pool fill executed 125K shares for $2.49M, underscoring institutional interest away from lit exchanges.

Transaction Type Size Notional Value
Block Trades 1.3M; 1.0M; 5.4M > $100K each
Dark Pool Fill 125K shares $2.49M
Strike Interest 20–20.50; sub-19

6. Technical Levels to Watch

Lucid closed at 19.90 between R2 and R1 on today’s chart. The next strong support sits at 19.27, and immediate resistance is pegged at 20.25. A decisive push above 21 could trigger a fresh wave of buying.

7. Algo Activity & Flow Dynamics

Algorithmic trading dominated the session, with outflows exceeding inflows despite a green close—an indication that hedge funds were net buyers. Walls around 20.20 and the $21 mark represent critical test zones for any breakout.

8. Overbought Signal & Five-Day Green Streak

Lucid’s five consecutive green days mark a rare streak, and technical indicators now flag the name as relatively overbought. That sets the stage for a pullback if any negative news surfaces, so manage your risk accordingly.

9. What’s Next? Conference & Community Thoughts

Tomorrow’s Morgan Stanley conference could be a major catalyst—will Lucid unveil fresh highlights or merely rehash old talking points? Drop your predictions in the comments: do you think the stock has more juice, or is it due for profit-taking?

10. Deeper Signals & Premium Research

For those seeking pin-point buy and sell alerts on stocks, options, and crypto, check out my Patreon. Recent calls on OpenDoor, Adobe, and SNPS hit with precision, and Lucid is next in line for my premium subscriber playbook.

Indicator Signal Note
Technical Resistance 20.25 Next upside hurdle
Technical Support 19.27 Key downside buffer
Institutional Flow Net Buy Algos & hedge funds accumulating
Overbought/Oversold Overbought Five-day green streak

Stock Rating: HOLD
Lucid’s institutional interest and expanded options range are bullish signs, but the current overbought setup and reliance on positive news inject risk. I’m holding until key catalysts—like the upcoming conference and consumer sentiment data—clarify the next directional move.

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